Yes, that's a pretty good presentation of how unrelated event probability works. But I have two follow-up questions for you.

1 - Suppose, just for the sake of argument, that the TFB event without the other mod interfering had already somehow managed to fail 10x in a row. What are the odds, at that point, that would it fail the 11th time? (I know you know the answer, this is more for our other readers out there if we have any left by this point)

2 - Did you know that a full 50% of everyone on the planet ranks below average in math skills?

Apparently, U.S. President Eisenhower was shocked to learn that a full 50% of U.S. citizens were below average intelligence. At least, according to some video I saw on YouTube.

FreakyRufus wrote: ↑

October 3rd, 2021, 4:55 pm

Apparently, U.S. President Eisenhower was shocked to learn that a full 50% of U.S. citizens were below average intelligence. At least, according to some video I saw on YouTube.

The shock should have been when (if) he was told that there isn't a D--- thing anyone can do about it, either. Ever.